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EUR/GBP gains for second day as political uncertainty in France could limit gains

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: The euro rose against the pound for the second consecutive day, French political uncertainty may limit the gains." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

EUR/GBP continued its upward trend during the Asian trading session, trading near the 0.8700 mark, recording gains for the second consecutive day.

This rise was mainly supported by the minutes of the European Central Bank's September policy meeting. The minutes of the meeting showed that most policymakers believe that the current monetary policy stance is consistent with the medium-term inflation target of 2%, and that the current interest rate level is sufficient to deal with potential shocks.

“Policy makers generally believe that keeping interest rates unchanged is a prudent choice under the current two-way inflation risks.” - Summary of the ECB internal discussion minutes

However, political uncertainty in France may still drag down the trend of the euro. Investors' concerns about France's fiscal deficit have increased following the resignation of French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu.

President Macron is expected to appoint a new prime minister on Friday to stabilize the political situation, and uncertainty about the process has weakened some safe-haven buying of the euro.

On the other hand, the pound was supported by the cautious stance of the Bank of England.

BoE member Catherine Mann said on Thursday that "monetary policy needs to remain tight for longer to create an environment conducive to growth." She added that inflation remains sticky and the economic growth outlook remains moderate.

In addition, the British Treasury Chief Secretary James Murray (James Murray) pointed out on Wednesday that the government will limit the public sector's use of emergency funds to increase wages to prevent wage spirals. "This prudent but firm fiscal management approach will help build a more stable economic environment.territory. ”——James Murray

From the daily chart, EUR/GBP closed positive for two consecutive days, and the short-term technical structure improved. The price stood firmly above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, showing increased buying power. The RSI indicator broke through the 50 central axis upwards, and the MACD red column held Continued expansion indicates that the momentum is bullish.

If the exchange rate can hold the support level of 0.8680, it is expected to test the resistance range of 0.8725-0.8750 in the short term; if it falls below 0.8670, it may pull back to 0.8640 to seek support. More, but we need to be wary of the increased volatility caused by political risks in France.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: The euro rose against the pound for the second consecutive day, French political uncertainty may limit the rise". It was carefully www.xmltrust.compiled and edited by the XM foreign exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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