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Trump's latest tariff threat accelerates the influx of safe-haven assets, and the U.S. government is reported to be planning to lay off more than 4,000 people
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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Group]: Trump's latest tariff threat accelerates the influx of safe-haven assets, and the US government is reported to plan to lay off more than 4,000 people." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
On October 13, spot gold continued to rise during the Asian market on Monday, approaching $4,060 per ounce. Last week, Trump once again threatened to increase tariffs, accelerating the influx of funds into safe-haven assets; U.S. crude oil was trading around $59.37 per barrel, and Trump’s latest tariff threat clouded the demand outlook in an already oversupplied market.
The U.S. dollar fell sharply on Friday as Trump's threat to impose additional tariffs once again raised concerns about how the trade war will affect the U.S. economy.
Traders are also focused on when the U.S. federal government will reopen and release data that will affect Federal Reserve policy.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Friday that it will release the September consumer inflation report on October 24 to assist the Social Security Administration in determining the annual cost of living adjustment for 2026. This www.xmltrust.comes after many Fed officials expressed concerns about inflation risks at their last meeting.
Traders see a 97% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at its October meeting, and a 92% chance of another rate cut in December, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
With the unexpected election of Sanae, a fiscal dove, as president of the Liberal Democratic Party, people are worried that the Bank of Japan may not raise interest rates again this year, which has aroused concerns that the Japanese authorities need to take action to support the yen.
Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said on Friday that the government will remain vigilant against excessive fluctuations in the foreign exchange market as the yen continues to be under pressure due to fiscal problems. Takayama said last Thursday that she did not want to trigger an excessive decline in the yen.
NewMarc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, said the finance minister had verbally intervened for the first time to warn against the yen's excessive volatility.
Last year, Japanese officials expressed concern that the yen could weaken by 10 yen in a month, and Chandler said that if the yen showed a similar trend from the low of September 17, it would indicate concerns about the 155.5 yen level.
Asia Market
New Zealand’s service industry still fell into contraction in September, and the BNZ Service Industry Performance Index rose slightly from 47.6 to 48.3. While this improvement marks a slight uptick in momentum, the index has now remained below the 50-point expansion threshold for 19 consecutive months.
Activity and sales rose to 47.8, and new orders improved to 49.6, but both were in negative territory. Employment fell to 47.8, reflecting continued caution among www.xmltrust.companies facing weak sales and pressure on profit margins.
BNZ reported that 58% of survey www.xmltrust.comments were negative, only slightly down from 59.6% in August. Respondents cited weak consumer confidence, rising costs of living and reduced discretionary spending as key drags. Many businesses are also noticing clients delaying projects and contracts amid wider economic uncertainty.
U.S. market
U.S. consumer confidence weakened slightly in October, with the University of Michigan index falling slightly from 55.1 to 55.0, in line with expectations. The details paint a mixed picture - current economic conditions improved to 61.0 from 60.4, while the expectations index fell slightly to 51.2 from 51.7.
The survey showed that improvements in current personal financial conditions and business conditions over the next year were offset by deterioration in future personal financial expectations and current durable goods purchasing conditions. This www.xmltrust.combination points to a fragile backdrop for confidence as households continue to struggle with high prices and high borrowing costs even amid a resilient job market.
On the inflation front, expectations remain uncomfortably high. Inflation over the next year slowed slightly from 4.7% to 4.6%, while long-term expectations were unchanged at 3.7%, both well above the Fed's 2% target.
The Canadian labor market had a strong upward surprise in September, with employment increasing by 60.4 people, much higher than the 2.8 expected. Gains were concentrated in manufacturing (+28k), healthcare and social assistance (+14k) and agriculture (+13k), while wholesale and retail trade saw a significant decline of -21k.
The report reinforced signs of resilience in key industries, even amid broader uncertainty about the impact of U.S. trade and tariff policies.
The data also showed a healthy quality of job growth, with full-time employment jumping by 106, while part-time positions fell by -46, indicating improved job stability.
The unemployment rate held steady at 7.1%, exceeding expectations for a slight rise to 7.2%.Wage growth also strengthened slightly, with average hourly earnings rising 3.3% year over year, up from 3.2% in August.
The above content is all about "[XM Group]: Trump's latest tariff threat accelerates the influx of safe-haven assets, and the US government reportedly plans to lay off more than 4,000 people." It was carefully www.xmltrust.compiled and edited by the XM foreign exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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